Numbers Time: Charts

Here are some charts to better understand the narrative of the entire election. I will update these as more results come in.

As with all my analyses, these charts list net pledged delegate gain per race. Any result above +20 gets bolded, above +30 gets highlighted. Races where both candidates walked away with the same number of pledged delegates are greyed out. Any race where the number is also italicized and underlined, that means results are still coming in.

Chronologically, you can see Hillary's early surge, then Bernie looking like he might have a shot, then that quickly reversing. In terms of strength of win, you can see Bernie has far too few races he won by healthy margins. In terms of size of the state, you can see that not only does Hillary have more wins, but she has more wins in larger states.

UPDATE: Based on recent conversations, I felt it more accurate in the middle chart to clarify which wins were in caucus states. Yes, a delegate is a delegate, but when comparing the relationship between popular vote and delegate count, I think this clarification is key.

Contests in Chrono. Order STATE HILL BERN Iowa 2 N. Hampsh. 6 Nevada 1 S. Carolina 25 Alabama 35 Arkansas 12 Colorado  16 Georgia 44 Mass. 1 Minnesota 15 Oklahoma 4 Tenn. 21 Texas 72 Vermont 16 Virginia 29 Am. Samoa 2 Nebraska 5 Kansas 13 Louisiana 23 Dems Abr 5 N. Mariana 2 Maine 7 Michigan 4 Mississippi 28 Florida 68 Ohio 17 N. Carolina 13 Missouri 1 Illinois 0 0 Idaho 13 Arizona 9 Utah 21 Wash. 47 Alaska 10 Hawaii 9 Wisconsin 10 Wyoming 0 0 New York 31 Connectct  1 Delaware 3 Maryland 27 Penn. 23 R.I. 2 Indiana 5 Guam 1 W. Virginia 7 Kentucky 1 Oregon 9 Virg. Isld. 5 Puerto Rico 12 9 California 63 N. Jersey 32 Montana 1 N. Dakota 8 S. Dakota 0 0 N. Mexico 2 D.C. 12

Contests by Net Delegates STATE HILL BERN Texas 72 Florida 68 California 63 Wash. 47 (c) Georgia 44 Alabama 35 N. Jersey 32 New York 31 Virginia 29 Mississippi 28 Maryland 27 S. Carolina 25 Penn. 23 Louisiana 23 Tenn. 21 Utah 21 (c) Ohio 17 Colorado 16 (c) Vermont 16 Minnesota 15 (c) N. Carolina 13 Kansas 13 (c) Idaho 13 (c) Arkansas 12 Puerto Rico 12 D.C. 12 Alaska 10 (c) Wisconsin 10 Arizona 9 Hawaii 9 (c) Oregon 9 N. Dakota 8 (c) Maine 7 (c) W. Virginia 7 N. Hampsh. 6 Indiana 5 Nebraska 5 (c) Dems Abr 5 Virg. Isld. 5 Oklahoma 4 Michigan 4 Delaware 3 Iowa 2 (c) Am. Samoa 2 (c) N. Mariana 2 (c) R.I. 2 N. Mexico 2 Nevada 1 (c) Mass. 1 Missouri 1 Connectct 1 Guam 1 (c) Kentucky 1 Montana 1 Illinois 0 0 Wyoming 0 (c) 0(c) S. Dakota 0 0

Contests by Pop. of State/Terr. STATE HILL BERN California 63 Texas 72 Florida 68 New York 31 Illinois 0 0 Penn. 23 Ohio 17 Georgia 44 N. Carolina 13 Michigan 4 New Jersey 31 Virginia 29 Wash. 47 Arizona 9 Mass. 1 Indiana 5 Tenn. 21 Missouri 1 Maryland 27 Wisconsin 10 Minnesota 15 Colorado 16 S. Carolina 25 Alabama 35 Louisiana 23 Kentucky 1 Oregon 9 Oklahoma 4 Connectct 1 Puerto Rico 12 Iowa 2 Utah 21 Mississippi 28 Arkansas 12 Kansas 13 Nevada 1 New Mexico 2 Nebraska 5 W. Virginia 7 Idaho 13 Hawaii 9 N. Hampsh. 6 Maine 7 R.I. 2 Montana 1 Delaware 3 S. Dakota 0 0 N. Dakota 8 Alaska 10 D.C. 12 Vermont 16 Wyoming 0 0 Guam 1 Virg. Isld. 5 Am. Samoa 2 N. Mariana 2 Dems Abr 5